A/B testing & experimentation
User bucketing, experiment metrics, statistical comparison, and rollout guardrails.
Bayesian A/B Test Credible Interval in Python
Simulates A/B test data and computes posterior credible intervals and the probability that variant B outperforms A using Bayesian Beta-Binomial inference.
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats
# Simulated A/B test data
n_A = 1000
n_B = 1000
conversions_A = 120
conversions_B = 140
# Prior: Beta(1, 1) uniform
alpha_prior, beta_prior = 1, 1
# Posterior parameters
alpha_A = alpha_prior + conversions_A
beta_A = beta_prior + n_A - conversions_A
alpha_B = alpha_prior +…
Benjamini Hochberg FDR Correction in Python
Implement the Benjamini-HHochberg false discovery rate (FDR) procedure in Python to control the expected proportion of false positives among rejected hypotheses.
import numpy as np
def benjamini_hochberg(p_values, alpha=0.05):
p_values = np.array(p_values)
n = len(p_values)
sorted_idx = np.argsort(p_values)
sorted_p = p_values[sorted_idx]
thresholds = (np.arange(1, n + 1) / n) * alpha
significant = sorted_p <= thresholds
if not significan…
How to Create an Interrupted Time Series Mock in Python
Generate simulated interrupted time series data with a pre/post-intervention trend, level shift, and noise to test segmented regression models.
import numpy as np
# Mock interrupted time series data
np.random.seed(42)
n_pre = 50
n_post = 50
time = np.arange(0, n_pre + n_post)
# Pre-intervention: linear trend + noise
pre_trend = 0.05 * time[:n_pre] + np.random.normal(0, 0.5, n_pre)
# Post-intervention: new slope + level shift + noise
post_trend = 0.05 * tim…
How to Generate an Orthogonal Array for A/B Testing in Python
Generate a mock orthogonal array for multi-layer experiments with NumPy, ensuring balanced level combinations across experiment groups.
import numpy as np
def orthogonal_mock_layers(n_experiments: int, n_layers: int, n_levels: int) -> np.ndarray:
"""Generate an orthogonal array for multi-layer experiment design using base-level logic."""
ortho = np.indices((n_levels,) * n_layers).reshape(n_layers, -1).T
ortho = ortho % n_levels # Classic…
Thompson Sampling Mock Bandit in Python
Implement a Thompson sampling multi-armed bandit to explore and exploit reward probabilities across multiple options, updating Beta distributions over time.
import random
class ThompsonSamplingBandit:
def __init__(self, num_arms, alpha=1.0, beta=1.0):
self.num_arms = num_arms
self.alpha = [alpha] * num_arms
self.beta = [beta] * num_arms
def select_arm(self):
samples = [random.betavariate(a, b) for a, b in zip(self.alpha, self.beta…
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A/B testing & experimentation — Python code examples
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